Are Bend Luxury Home Prices Stabilizing?

It has been a while since we have done a careful analysis of the high end Bend home market. Overall, the Bend real estate market has seen growth in inventory levels along with high mortgage interest rates and a more normal increase in home prices. The same cannot be said for the luxury market. For

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High Mortgage Rates - High Prices Affecting Bend Home Sales

For the 4th week in a row, the thirty year mortgage interest rate has risen which has impacted real estate sales across the country. With these rates now pushing 7%, the buying power of Bend homebuyers has diminished.

With this change, few sellers are putting their homes of the market. Why sell a home with a great interest rate when the replacement home will cost so much more to finance? Both Bend home buyers and Bend home sellers are making decisions based on the cost to finance and when mortgage rates rise, often the decision made is to do nothing.

Bend Real Estate Inventory Levels Remain Low

Although there is always a downward seasonal adjustment for Bend home sales in the winter, the number...

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Bend Home Sales Slow

There is a seasonal slow down experienced every fall for Bend real estate sales. When school starts, many would-be Bend home buyers focus on other things. While retirees and second home buyers may be active in early to mid fall, once Thanksgiving comes, the number of Bend real estate sales drop as both buyers and sellers tend to concentrate on holiday activities with home sales secondary to celebrating the season. In 2023, however, the annual slow down for Bend home sales typically seen in November was exceptional. When November of 2023 is compared with November of 2022, Bend single family home sales on less than an acre reflect the following:

• Average sales price up 3.5% to $859,650*
• Median sales price up 1% to $702,750
• New listings down 26.1% to 82
• Homes for sale down 29.9% to 281
• Pending sales down 18.7% to 87
• Sold homes down 24.1% to 104
• Average days on market up 22% to 50

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There are More Bend Luxury Homes on the Market

The Bend real estate market has been in transition since Covid ended, with the demand for homes remaining strong, but rising mortgage interest rates greatly impacting the buying power of would-be homebuyers.  It has been three months since we last looked at the Bend luxury homes. During this time, there have been changes with fewer new listings, more homes on the market, and fewer sales. All four categories we look at with high end home sales are up significanty with available inventory.

We are pushing closer to a neutral market with the highest prices where there is 5 to 6 months of inventory. We are not there yet, but there has been significant change over the past twelve months where higher priced homes are slower to sell.

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Broken Top is a Recognized Bend Oregon Luxury Subdivision

Started in 1993, the Broken Top community and golf club have been one of Bend's premier subdivisions for many decades. Situated in Bend's west side, the private Morrish-Weiskopf designed 18 hole golf course and club have hosted professional and local tournaments and have been member owned for the past few years. Residences in the gated community include custom designed luxury homes on large lots, luxury townhomes, and a handful of vacation rentals which can also be used as year-round dwellings. 

Market Trends for Broken Top Single Family Homes

Broken Top real estate sales experienced the same pattern that much of Bend did during the Covid-19 pandemic with home prices and demand rising dramatically during 2020-2021, and then leveling off once interest rates doubled in 2022. Today, median sales prices have dropped from their 2022 peak with inventory levels and the number of sales rising.

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